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3 Reasons Why Ukraine Crisis Is More Dangerous than You Think

March 10, 2014
Increasing tensions between Washington and Moscow over Ukraine are a failure by each side to appreciate the mindset of the other. U.S. President Barack Obama sees the world as governed by international law and the United Nations Charter, while Russian President Vladimir Putin, a man who has jailed his critics, sent arms to Syrian President Bashar al-Assad and has installed cronies as governors of Caucasus republics, sees the world very differently.

As Crimea moves to hold a referendum on joining Russia and the United States plans sanctions, those tensions will mount. Yet Obama’s approach to the crisis has almost no chance of succeeding and could make things worse, as administration officials have failed to grasp three crucial truths about this situation.

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3 Reasons Why Ukraine Crisis Is More Dangerous than You Think
Pro-Kremlin activists rally in Moscow in support of ethnic Russians in Ukraine on March 10, 2014. The orange and black flags are St. George’s Ribbons, a well-known Russian symbol of military valor. The banner reads: “Ask the people.” (Dmitry Serebryakov/AFP/Getty Images)
Venezuela Unravels While ‘Chavismo’ Successor Flails

Venezuela Unravels While ‘Chavismo’ Successor Flails

March 10, 2014
A year after the death of Venezuelan President Hugo Chavez, his unsustainable policies are causing the South American petro-economy to unravel. Chavez held the country together by combining a charismatic personality with oil-driven spending on the poor and sheer force, resources in short supply to his successor, Nicolas Maduro.
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Cyber Attacks Intensify as Technical Barriers Fall

Cyber Attacks Intensify as Technical Barriers Fall

March 10, 2014
CYBER WAR

According to Moore’s Law, the density of transistors on a computer chip — and thus its computing power — doubles every two years. That increasing power has led to broader adoption and opened the door to increased abuse: Already this year, a massive distributed denial-of-service (DDoS) attack slowed Internet speeds worldwide. The latest attack was one-third larger than a similar attack last year.
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Secret IRA Deal Threatens Fragile Peace in Northern Ireland

Secret IRA Deal Threatens Fragile Peace in Northern Ireland

March 7, 2014
Revelations of secret amnesty deals for 187 veterans of the Irish Republican Army have cast an ominous shadow over Northern Ireland’s hard-won peace and could shatter its delicate unity government. Resurgent turmoil in the region would pose a dangerous distraction for the British government, which is fighting secessionist sentiment in Scotland ahead of an independence referendum there. 
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Is China Facing Financial Collapse?

Is China Facing Financial Collapse?

March 7, 2014
Special Economic Analysis
by Peter Warburton, PhD

Concerns about China’s financial sector have resurfaced in recent months as another trust product, Credit Equals Gold No.1, failed and its investors were bailed out at the last minute by an unidentified third party. Most recently, Shanghai Chaori Solar Energy Science & Technology is rumored to have become the first company to default in China’s domestic corporate bond market. Examples such as these have fueled widespread speculation that China is on the brink of a financial collapse.

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Algeria Faces Growing Instability Everywhere but on the Ballot

Algeria Faces Growing Instability Everywhere but on the Ballot

March 7, 2014
The announcement this week by Abdelaziz Bouteflika that he will run for the Algerian presidency settled one area of uncertainty: The 77-year-old incumbent almost certainly will win re-election in April. Yet several emerging issues suggest that the oil-rich country could be headed for turmoil, among them a split between the army and the intelligence apparatus, declining oil production, a rising al-Qaeda threat, increasing public discontent and Bouteflika’s own questionable health.
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Yanukovych’s Legacy: Empty Coffers, Imminent Bankruptcy

Yanukovych’s Legacy: Empty Coffers, Imminent Bankruptcy

March 7, 2014
The political crisis in Ukraine has pushed the economy to the brink of collapse, revealing along the way a history of mismanagement, corruption and kleptocracy. Bailouts will ease the short-term pain, but the bankrupt Ukrainian state faces significant reforms if the country is to prosper once again.
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