May 18, 2013
SITUATION REPORT
 
Test launches today by North Korea of three short-range missiles into the Sea of Japan probably were an effort by Pyongyang to keep the pressure up on regional states and Washington to resume multilateral talks. Although the missile launches violate UN resolutions, they do not necessarily mean that North Korean leaders have decided to reverse a cooling of tensions seen over the last two months.
New North Korea Missile Launches a Cry for Attention
Replicas of North Korean Scud-B missiles (center) and other South Korean missiles are displayed at the Korea War Memorial Museum in Seoul. North Korea tested three unidentified missiles today, possibly Scuds. (JUNG YEON-JE/AFP/Getty Images)
US-South Korean Military Exercises Proved US Resolve
May 3, 2013
The eight-week annual U.S.-South Korea military exercise ‘Foal Eagle’ that ended quietly this week was considered successful and sent a strong message to North Korea. Although tensions with the North rose to extremely high levels during the exercise, the situation has eased over the last few weeks and diplomatic talks look likely by the end of the year.
Grim Religious Freedom Report Unlikely to Change US Policy
May 3, 2013
A new report issued this week by the U.S. Commission on International Religious Freedom described serious violations of religious freedom, especially by China, Saudi Arabia, and Pakistan, but these human rights abuses are likely to take a backseat to other bilateral U.S. trade and economic issues and the report will not lead to any new efforts by U.S. diplomats.
Cybersecurity Threat Likely to Kill SoftBank’s Bid for Sprint
May 2, 2013
With the third largest U.S. cell phone company up for sale and a Japanese company with a close relationship with China about to buy it, alarm bells are being raised in Washington. Will the U.S. government allow the Japanese company, SoftBank, which relies heavily on telecommunications equipment made by the Chinese company Huawei, to buy Sprint Nextel? It appears likely that Softbank’s bid will be derailed and that Dish Network Corp., which has made a competing offer, will win out. But there are other factors at work, as well.
South Africa’s ANC Strengthens Grip During Crisis
May 2, 2013
A series of recent moves by South Africa’s ruling African National Congress (ANC) to solidify its control over the country’s political landscape appear to be driven by its growing concern that ongoing economic and social troubles could undermine its hold on power. Unprecedented levels of unrest over the past year have tested the leftist party’s authority as it struggles to project an aura of invulnerability before presidential elections next year.
Egypt: Morsi Moves Could Lead to ‘Summer of Flames’
May 2, 2013
After brokering a cease-fire between Hamas and Israel in November 2012, Egyptian President Mohammed Morsi emerged as one of the most powerful figures in the Middle East. But his legitimacy inside Egypt has taken a hit with his move to purge 3,000 secular judges, which would remove the opposition’s only means of challenging total domination of the government by the Muslim Brotherhood. The result is likely to be a rising swell of violent protest over the coming months, violence that could eventually see Morsi forced from office.
Argentina: Politics Turning Toxic with Kirchner Power Grab
May 1, 2013
Argentina’s President Cristina Fernandez de Kirchner has rammed new judicial reforms through the legislature in yet another effort to seize more power and undermine democracy. The reforms are likely to hurt the country’s economy and could mark the beginning of a new period of authoritarianism in Argentina.
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