July 29, 2014
SITUATION REPORT

Russian President Vladimir Putin’s Ukraine gambit suffered major setbacks this week by a successful Ukrainian army offensive against pro-Russian separatists and significant new sanctions by the European Union and the United States.

Invasion Threat Looms as Putin’s Ukraine Strategy Crumbles
Russia’s President Vladimir Putin at a meeting at his residence at Novo-Ogaryovo outside Moscow, on July 29, 2014. (Mihkail Klimentyev/AFP/Getty Images)
With War Games, Moscow Sends a Startling Message to NATO
September 30, 2013
Russia’s recently concluded Zapad-13 military exercise continues a pattern of Russian war games threatening to NATO alliance members in Eastern Europe, in this case Poland and the Baltic states. NATO has been sufficiently provoked to schedule war games in November simulating the defense of Poland and the Baltic states from a hypothetical invader.
Next Front for Radical Islamists: Central African Republic
September 30, 2013
The Central African Republic is increasingly becoming the front line in the fight against radical Islamists, who appear to be successfully exploiting the growing chaos plaguing the unstable nation to establish a safe haven for terrorism on the continent. With sectarian conflict threatening to engulf the Central African Republic, international assistance is likely to prove critical to stop terrorists from securing a foothold in the country.
One Threat to US Aircraft Carriers Iran Did Not Show Off
September 30, 2013
Over the past week, Iran has been conducting military parades across the nation showing off the full range of its military hardware, including an unprecedented 30 of its most sophisticated mobile ballistic missiles. Iran’s new president, while observing the missile parade through the streets of Tehran, commented that Iran has never started a war, but a Revolutionary Guards admiral told reporters that Iran is capable of destroying U.S. ships operating in the Persian Gulf, including aircraft carriers. 
When Libya Loses an Oil Pipeline, Europe Feels the Pinch
September 27, 2013
During the heyday of OPEC and Libyan dictator Muammar Qaddafi, a few weeks of steady oil output above 500,000 barrels per day was considered a good month inTripoli. Since Qaddafi was overthrown in 2011, however, militias that control nearly all territory outside the capital have discovered a political weak spot in Libya’s inexperienced government. By supplying the muscle behind thousands of energy workers who are demanding higher pay and a share of oil revenue, parts of Libya’s oil infrastructure can be shut down for weeks. Protests and strikes are slowing oil output to a trickle.
How Israel’s Energy Reserves Could Change the Middle East
September 27, 2013
Israel’s vast offshore reserves of natural gas offer a novel opportunity to soothe long-standing tensions in the Eastern Mediterranean. With Cyprus, Greece and Turkey desperate to gain access to the Israeli gas, Jerusalem could find itself in a strong position to push for peace and harmony across the region.
Private Sector Joins Battle Against Global Cybercrime Wave
September 27, 2013
CYBER WAR

Battling the rise in cybercrime is difficult, not least because the transnational nature of the crime requires collaboration of law enforcement officials at local, national and international levels. Yet the takedown of bank account-draining botnets and other online criminal enterprises over the past two years demonstrates that as the capabilities of cybercriminals advance, so does the ability of their governmental and corporate adversaries to track and shut down major cybercrime rings.
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