Analysis

Wurmser: Religious Struggle Could Rip Apart Iranian Regime
Iranian President Mahmoud Ahmadinejad waves after casting his ballot in Tehran in a parliamentary run-off election, May 4, 2012. (ATTA KENARE/AFP/GettyImages)
May 17, 2012
| Security
| Middle East and North Africa
Summary
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In a new LIGNET interview, senior analyst David Wurmser says the drubbing that Iranian President Mahmoud Ahmadinejad and his allies took in the May 4 parliamentary election from allies of Supreme Leader Ayatollah Ali Khamenei reflected irreconcilable religious differences. These differences, he says, pose a threat to the mullahs' rule and could ultimately "rip apart the regime."

Wurmser, a former senior aide to Vice President Dick Cheney, recently sat down with LIGNET Managing Editor Fred Fleitz to follow up LIGNET’s May 10 analysis “Iran: Ahmadinejad Squashed by Supreme Leader Khamenei.” (Click HERE to read this analysis.) 

 

Wurmser noted that Iranian parliamentary elections are not real elections in that they reflect political maneuvering among members of the leadership and not the will of the people.

 

A political struggle between Ahmadinejad and Khamenei played a role in the loss that Ahmadinejad and his allies suffered in the last two parliamentary elections, Wurmser said, but the more important factor was the religious split between the two Iranian leaders. 

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