Analysis

Will the U.S. be Dragged into an Iran-Israel Assassination War?
An Israeli embassy car destroyed by a magnetic bomb in New Delhi, India on February 13. Israeli officials accused Iran of being behind the attack. (SAJJAD HUSSAIN/AFP/Getty Images)
February 14, 2012
| Security
| Middle East and North Africa
Summary
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Yesterday’s assassination attempts on Israeli diplomats in Georgia and India were almost certainly sponsored by the Iranian government in response to a series of assassinations of Iranian nuclear scientists over the last two years for which Israel has been widely blamed. Could this lead to an Iran-Israel assassination war that drags in the United States?

The attempted killings represent a dangerous deterioration in the Iran situation and probably presage more state-sponsored violence by Israel in 2012, with reprisals by Iran. These attacks raise several serious questions such as whether a leak by U.S. officials to the news media made this situation worse, whether Americans will be the targets of similar attacks, and whether these attacks will increase the chances of an Israeli airstrike on Iran.

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