If history is any guide, the odds are against the emergence of a working democracy in Libya. By their very nature revolutions create chaos, which in turn usually leads to a dictatorial strong man who emerges to restore order. This pattern could repeat itself in Libya, but the Arab Spring has changed conditions on the ground throughout the region. Authoritarian regimes are no longer tolerated as they once were and this will make it more difficult for another Qadaffi to seize power.
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