Analysis

Somalia: Likely to Lose Gains Made Against Al Qaeda Group
Transitional Federal Government (TFG) soldiers take up positions during heavy fighting on January 20, 2012 in Mogadishu's Yaqshid district that pitted TFG soldiers against fighters from the al Qaeda-linked terrorist group al-Shabaab. (Mohamed Abdiwahab/AFP/Getty Images)
January 26, 2012
| Security
| Africa
Summary
Al-Shabaab’s grip on southern Somalia is beginning to loosen as Kenyan, Ethiopian, and African Union troops continue to make key advances toward the al Qaeda-linked militant group’s stronghold cities near the southern coast. However, power struggles and chronic poor governance within Somalia’s transitional government will likely continue to cripple efforts to bring peace and stability to the war torn nation in the near future.

Al-Shabaab militants currently face a three-front battle, with Ethiopian forces moving in from the east, Kenyan troops from the south, and government forces backed by African Union peacekeepers (AMISOM) pushing outward from the government controlled capital of Mogadishu. On January 20, the BBC reported that government and AMISOM troops had captured three al-Shabaab enclaves, securing territory outside of the city for the first time. Earlier this month, Ethiopian troops made key advances into the central Somali city of Beledweyne, a trading axis for militants located near the Ethiopian border. Kenyan forces also have made advances in the south after being bogged down by heavy rains earlier in the campaign. This week, troops are reportedly closing in on the town of Afmandow, a gateway leading to the coastal town of Kismayu, which acts as the financial nerve center and de-facto capital of al-Shabaab’s territory.

 

Despite critical losses, al-Shabaab remains a significant threat. On January 24, it claimed responsibility for a bombing attack on an Ethiopian military base in Beledweyne. The group’s Twitter feed announced that 33 Ethiopians were killed in the strike.  These numbers could not be independently verified.

Full analysis continues for this Report. To continue reading and for Full LIGNET Access -- Click Here Now
Get Full Access Button

Get unrestricted, actionable analysis and detailed forecasting
from our dedicated team of intelligence experts.

  • Unrestricted entry to 24/7, security-encrypted, LIGNET.com
  • Access to penetrating insider reports before you read the news in the mainstream media
  • LIGNET's Morning Brief sent straight to your inbox
  • Delivery of Urgent Action Reports when a global crisis develops
  • Elite viewing privileges to special video briefings from senior intelligence advisers
  • Critical analyses and forecasts of global and financial markets that could protect you, and your assets
  • In-depth dossiers on strategically important countries and regions of geopolitical relevance
  • Exclusive access to a network of world-class intelligence experts
  • Guarantee of Satisfaction
Full Access for $1

Gain FULL access for 30 days and discover the power of information for politics, business, finance, security and much much more.

Join Now Button
Join Now Button

PLUS Get the CIA
World Factbook FREE!
Find out how ››

NO RISK, NO OBLIGATION.

Comments or questions about this article? Click here to contact us.
 
Login or Create New Account
Email Address:
Password:
New to LIGNET? Create New Account
GET FREE Intelligence Reports

LIGNET provides you with actionable intelligence and in-depth analyses from seasoned insiders including senior CIA officials, presidential advisors, ambassadors, and more.

 
Sign Up for
FREE Intelligence Reports!
 
 
Join Now
Already have an account?
Click here to log in.

 
Join Now
Knowledge is Power
Only if You Access it!
Upgrade to a full access account and get the official CIA World Fact Book 2014 FREE!
Upgrade Now
FREE CIA World Factbook 2013
 
 
What is LIGNET?
Powered by Newsmax
LIGNET is registered in the U.S. Patent and Trademark Office. Langley Intelligence Group Network is registered in the U.S. Patent and Trademark Office.