Analysis

Iran: Full Speed Ahead Toward Nuclear Weapons
Iranian President Mahmoud Ahmadinejad speaks to the press on January 14, 2012 after a five-day visit to Venezuela, Nicaragua, Cuba, Ecuador, and Guatemala. (ATTA KENARE/AFP/Getty Images)
January 27, 2012
| Security
| Middle East and North Africa
Summary
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Despite Iranian President Mahmoud Ahmadinejad’s new offer to negotiate with the international community, LIGNET believes that Iran has no intention of halting its nuclear weapons program and we see compelling evidence that its timetable to complete a nuclear weapon is actually getting shorter.

President Ahmadinejad said yesterday that Iran would agree to resume international talks to resolve the controversy peacefully, but made clear that he will not be pressured to give up uranium enrichment, which experts say is the biggest obstacle to building an atomic bomb. Also yesterday, the Institute for Science and International Security (ISIS) said in a draft report made public that Iran probably will not get a nuclear weapon this year because it will be deterred by strong sanctions. This dovish assessment of Iran's intentions was not surprising as the ISIS shares the controversial view of the U.S. intelligence community that Iran has not yet made the decision to pursue nuclear weapons. 

 

LIGNET strongly disagrees with the ISIS assessment because of past Iranian behavior (its use of delaying tactics is nothing new), recent developments at Iranian nuclear facilities (which show that progress toward a bomb continues) and a November 2011 report by the International Atomic Energy Agency that sees Iran’s nuclear ambitions as much more sinister than those described in previous reports.)

 

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