Analysis

Situation Report: Tenuous Cease-fire in Syria Appears to be Holding
Image from YouTube video reportedly of Syrians demonstrating today, probably in Damascus.
April 12, 2012
| Security
| Middle East and North Africa
Summary
A tenuous cease-fire may be holding with the government refraining from widespread violence. Violence is sharply down but there were reports of some civilians killed and shelling. The regime has not fully complied with the peace accord, however, and the government may be looking to use opposition activity as an excuse to resume the violence.

1500 EDT Update: The Syrian cease-fire appeared to be holding with scattered reports of violence.  Some Syrians reportedly have taken the the streets to protest the Assad regime.  Western states called for Assad to fully comply with the peace accord and with draw troops from urban areas per the peace plan.  U.S. Secretary of State Hillary Clinton said today:

"If it holds, a ceasefire is an important step, but it represents just one element of the special envoy's plan."

The Syrian National Congress opposition group condemned the Assad regime for only partially complying with the cease-fire.

The Syrian government has not yet complied with the peace agreement’s requirement to withdraw troops from urban areas. Syrian troops, tanks, and armored personnel carriers continue to patrol opposition strongholds today, including the town of Homs, according to the Associated Press. 

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