Analysis

Al-Shabaab to Benefit from Ethiopian Prime Minister’s Death
U.S. Secretary of State Hillary Clinton shakes hands with the late Ethiopian Prime Minister Meles Zenawi during an international conference on Somalia in London, February 23, 2012. Meles, who died on August 20, was active in international efforts to bring stability to Somalia and drive out al-Shabaab terrorists. (JASON REED/AFP/Getty Images)
August 28, 2012
| Security
| Africa
Summary
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With the recent death of longtime Ethiopian Prime Minister Meles Zenawi who was a pivotal player in regional security politics, stability is threatened not only in Ethiopia but in the entire Horn of Africa. In Somalia, meanwhile, the first official parliament in more than 20 years was formed in an attempt to strengthen the ongoing campaign against the al-Shabaab terrorist group, which has links to al Qaeda. Both events will affect stability in the region and the fight against al-Qaeda.

A power vacuum occurred in Ethiopia after the death on August 20 of Prime Minister Zenawi, the head of Ethiopia's power elite since 1991. There are no apparent successors who can match Zenawi’s leadership and influence. His deputy, Hailemariam Desalegn, will be in charge until elections are held in 2015. Desalegn is not of Zenawi’s Tigray ethnicity, a people from northern Ethiopia who control much of its political scene.

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