Analysis

Afghanistan: Insider Attacks a Symptom of a Coming Collapse
1st Lieutenant Michael Friedman, left, of 3rd Platoon, Delta Coy leads a joint security patrol with members of the Afghan National Army (ANA) at Nevay-deh village in Kandahar province on September 5, 2012. (TONY KARUMBA/AFP/GettyImages)
September 24, 2012
| Security
| Asia and the Pacific, Middle East and North Africa
Summary
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An increased number of insider attacks in Afghanistan that have killed 51 American and other NATO troops this year appear to be a Taliban tactic to undermine Western resolve and drive a wedge between international troops and Afghan forces. Despite a claim by Secretary of Defense Panetta that these attacks are a “last gasp” by the Taliban, LIGNET believes they could significantly set back NATO efforts to build an effective Afghan military capable of assuming responsibility for domestic security when the NATO-led force withdraws in 2014.
A rash of insider killings led NATO commanders on September 17 to suspend joint patrols with the Afghan National Army and Afghan police “until further notice.” It is likely that this decision was partly out of concern that an anti-Islamic video that spurred anti-American protests in Afghanistan and across the Muslim world could lead to more insider attacks. Afghans and NATO personnel will still work together at NATO headquarters but joint operations in the field with Afghan soldiers have been suspended unless an exception is granted by a commanding general.
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